Read Positional Option Trading: An Advanced Guide (Wiley Trading) By Euan Sinclair
Best Positional Option Trading: An Advanced Guide (Wiley Trading) By Euan Sinclair
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Ebook About A detailed, one-stop guide for experienced options traders Positional Option Trading is a rigorous, professional-level guide on sophisticated techniques from professional trader and quantitative analyst Euan Sinclair. The author has over two decades of high-level option trading experience. He has written this book specifically for professional options traders who have outgrown more basic trading techniques and are searching for in-depth information suitable for advanced trading. Custom-tailored to respond to the volatile option trading environment, this expert guide stresses the importance of finding a valid edge in situations where risk is usually overwhelmed by uncertainty and unknowability. Using examples of edges such as the volatility premium, term-structure premia and earnings effects, the author shows how to find valid trading ideas and details the decision process for choosing an option structure that best exploits the advantage. Advanced topics include a quantitative approach for directionally trading options, the robustness of the Black Scholes Merton model, trade sizing for option portfolios, robust risk management and more. This book: Provides advanced trading techniques for experienced professional traders Addresses the need for in-depth, quantitative information that more general, intro-level options trading books do not provide Helps readers to master their craft and improve their performance Includes advanced risk management methods in option trading No matter the market conditions, Positional Option Trading is an important resource for any professional or advanced options trader.Book Positional Option Trading: An Advanced Guide (Wiley Trading) Review :
Trading books set a low bar for the reviewer. 99% are full of facile feel-good advice (don't fight the trend, always use a protective stop). The 1% that are useful tend to either be dry technical treatments (quants who don't trade), or sporadically helpful insights from traders who make money but don't know why (traders who don't quant.)This book is a practical book by an experienced trader who writes clearly about what works, and why it works.The first edition of Euan Sinclair's Volatility Trading was a revelation for me as a trader. It's a book written for the professional options trader. I was spreading futures when I read it - and had barely traded an option. But it was an absolute revelation to me. Why? Because it did something much more valuable than teach me about volatility: it taught me how to *think* about trading.Euan's trading process and mental model of the market comes through strongly in this book. Reading this book will change the way you think about the markets and how to trade in a realistic, high probability way.Positional Option Trading will be useful to all traders: not just options traders, and certaintly not just professionals.This book picks up where Option Trading (by the same author) left off. It assumes quite a lot of knowledge - so you should pick up Option Trading along with this if you haven't already.It starts with the basics of getting an edge and finishes with risk management. The material is advanced, but always practical. You will be well rewarded by repeated readings of this material - especially on sizing.The material is intellectually honest. The author makes no attempt to draw firm conclusions when the data does not warrant it. Everything in trading is a trade-off made under immense uncertainty and the author makes no claim to the contrary. Valuable pointers are provided for the dedicated trader.A criticism of some serious trading books is that they don't tell you exactly to trade. This book doesn't either- but in Chapter 5 you are given a comprehensive list of quality edges backed by market intuition and empirical evidence. This is a valuable insight into what serious positional trading really looks like. Many retail traders will likely be surprised by the simplicity of these edges. (The author is careful to assert that these are edges and not rules.)With a little work, you can include this stuff in your trading right away. It includes:- The implied volatility forward curve as a predictor of variance premium returns- Using fundamental factors (think Fama/French stuff) to predict cross-sectional equity option returns- Trading the post-earnings announcement drift (PEAD) with vertical spreads- Trading volatility over earnings announcements- The tendency of the volatility risk premium to be concentrated overnight- Trading pre-FOMC SPX trend effects, and selling volatility over the announcement- The tendency for "time" to be mispriced on non-trading days (despite this sounding dumb)- Timing the volatility risk premium at VVIX extremes- Trading reversal effects on stocks that move big ahead of earnings- Trading the pre-announcement drift in late reporting stocks.At times the book is hilarious. It's a very easy read, despite the advanced subject matter.Chapter 1 covers the basics of options pricing models. You probably won't understand this if you don't already understand it. So buy Euan's Option Trading too.Chapter 2 covers the Efficient Market Hypothesis in a practical and entertaining way. "The traders' concept of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) is 'making money is hard'. This isn't wrong, but it is worth looking at the theory in more detail." This chapter makes a helpful distinction between inefficiencies and mispriced risk premia.Chapters 3 and 4 look at volatility forecasting and the volatility risk premium. These are very good treatments if you are already familiar with the subject matter.Chapter 5 gives you 10 edges to trade. I would have killed for this chapter when I was starting out.Chapter 6 shows the P&L distribution of volatility positions. It's a very useful reference.Chapter 7 extends the BSM framework to incorporate directional views. This is eye-opening and gives the reader a simple framework for strike and strategy selection. The author is careful to point out that the utility of this is dependent on your ability to predict returns (which probably isn't very good.)Chapter 8 shows the P&L distribution of directional options structures.Chapter 9 discusses trade sizing and the Kelly criterion. It incorporates estimation uncertainty, skew of returns and stop losses in the treatment. As far as I am aware it is unique in doing so (especially the treatment of stop losses.) This is a challenging chapter - but will be extremely rewarding if you go through it carefully.Finally, Chapter 10 covers non-obvious risks to the trader.If you are serious about option trading, get this book and Option Trading by the same author.If you're a trader with no intention of trading options you'll still get an enormous amount out of the book. It will teach you how to think about high probability trading. The beginning starts with a review of the Efficient market hypothesis, vol forecasting, and variance premium. I personally bought the book for potentially what lay in chapters 5-8.Chapter 5 gives a whirlwind tour of potential +EV ideas, with good literature review and references. I like the confidence level layout for the strength of the factors explored. Chapter 6 is just a walkthrough of the different ways to get vega exposure. This book assumes an advanced reader, so it does not over so much how a position is constructed but does monte carlo simulations in a GBM world + assumptions which is great. it can be a good reference instead of having to code the simulations yourself.Chapter 7 and 8 on directional options trading + strategy selection. Is really what i was looking forward to due to the title Positional Option Trading. Although the framework of simulation and building a new pricing distribution based on your assumption is good (kind of an option version of black litterman). The Strike Choice and Expiration Choice sections left a lot to be desired, as it boils down to 'there is no best strategy' or 'there is no simple answer'. I think it would have been useful to have a better logical framework to determine your utility function or walk through an example of someone maximizing one of the given and for what reason. I feel these parts just leave you hanging, which is why it gets 4/5.This is for sure on of the better options books out there, I have read all of Euan's books and it keeps the balance between conversational writing style and technical knowledge. I think the layout of strategies and simulations are great. However the framework for decisions in directional trading left something to be desired (presuming you already have your forecast model), as in how to better structure your expression of a trade. 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